Having run the default numbers, some of which were provided by Castelazo and Garrett, we confirmed that instead of pouring money into low return light rail, the government could simply purchase cars for the light rail riders without them still have enough money left over to provide all the other riders with substantial credits to use for bus service or other subsidized mass transportation options.
They provide a tool where you can play with the numbers yourself.
no subject
Date: 2010-10-08 09:18 pm (UTC)For light rail to be successful, it needs to be paired with high density commercial developments near the stations. This makes it easy for people to bus/bike/drive to the nearest station and then hop on the train to get to work. This is how cities that got big before ~1930 (eg New York, London, Tokyo etc) were designed.
no subject
Date: 2010-10-08 10:14 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-10-08 10:49 pm (UTC)For those of us who know the history, existing rail systems and right of way (including the invaluable 'Key System' across the Bay Bridge) were wholesale dismantled at taxpayer expense, in order to build freeway systems and design our cities and economy around the automobile.
The entire cost of the Iraq War should be charged off to the 'automobile' side, including care for disabled veterans etc. Our continued geostrategic dependence on light sweet crude for gasoline is outrageous and dangerous.
I don't mind having the argument between privately owned vehicle (POV) and mass transit. I'd prefer a third option, a packet-based or "pod" system where personal or community pods were shuttled around by largely automated systems, but that's just me.
Light rail can't pay for itself now. Neither can a baby. Making the necessary infrastructure improvements will someday pay for itself, and then some, especially if oil prices continue to rise.
Other major sunk costs which are not accounted for in this model include:
-- accident, injury and fatality costs from highway and freeway accidents
-- highway and freeway maintenance (portion not paid for by gas taxes)
-- additional pollution and resulting increased health care costs, as well as fatalities from lowered air quality
-- effects on truck-based commerce of additional trips on major truck routes
Consider that most of these costs are negative in nature. Many of the costs in building and running a light rail system are positive (construction, salaries) and multiply through the local economy.
Comparing capital to capital, the money spent on local concrete bridges, tunnels and rail is spent locally, where the money spent on buying cheap cars (especially if one uses a Toyota!) leaves the community and the region, as does most of the gasoline costs. What stays local is the refinery and thus much of the pollution, barring the occasional oil spill. Charge the BP disaster off on the automobile side too.
no subject
Date: 2010-10-09 03:13 am (UTC)Now, about those "persuasive arguments in the future." You might not be aware that we receive almost no oil from Iraq. You might not be aware that oil is never mentioned in the documents by which the Iraq war was architected. However, people who disagree with you on light rail are almost sure to know these facts that you've missed, so they will immediately recognize your statement, "The entire cost of the Iraq War should be charged off to the 'automobile' side," as factually flawed and therefore useless for anything other than social status signaling. At that point, any persuasive argument you might have been able to use will probably lose its audience. May I suggest skipping that line in the future, so we can continue to respect your viewpoint and listen to what you have to say more attentively?
no subject
Date: 2010-10-08 11:42 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-10-09 01:53 am (UTC)http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/category/rail-and-mass-transit
light rail is dumb. it's an ornament. light rail as an advantage for a city is based on a other cities losing people, prestige. buses are always more economical.
in portland, or, people celebrated the dismantling of a nuclear power site, while advocating their great non-car transit options. idiots -- and there's no better word for it.
in the end, any mass transit is a way to try to aportion transit energy to people via the state. this may be a good idea, but it won't work until people understand what it is. until then, it will always cost more than simply buying everyone priuses.
no subject
Date: 2010-10-11 06:26 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-10-16 06:19 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-10-22 05:17 am (UTC)The other nice thing about public transit is that it works for those of us who can't drive because of disabilities or medical problems. Having a car wouldn't do me any good unless you also provided me with a driver. Same for my friend who is blind. Both of us get around just fine on transit, and are able to work and lead independent lives.